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INTRODUCTION to Top

What are the food trends of the future. This is somewhat difficult and variable; however, there is some uniformity. Sloan (1995) indicates that one should look at the restaurant trade to determine the trends. She feels that they set the pace for the food industry segment. Certainly, it is a potential opportunity for some testing.

A number of companies, such as the Doblin Group, will investigate food habits and trends. This group does extensive, non-traditional field research which includes actually living with and video-taping families in target regions to obtain first-hand observations of shopping, cooking and eating behaviors and attitudes of consumers on a global scale. Another approach is being used by supermarkets and other food distribution mechanisms with their "card" approach. Certainly, accessing the Bureau of Labor Statistics is useful in determining actual trends.

There are many trends and figures given. Most recently, the NPD Group (Toop and Kevin, 1997) indicated that the most recent trends are: frozen pizza, precut veggies and salad mixes, meat, juices, leftovers, tap water and vitamins. "Trends" on the out are salsa, rice cakes, frozen yogurt, and low-cholesterol, low-sodium, low-sugar. In 1992, Food Engineering published an interesting list. However, depending upon the particular market segment, one can find many trends. Thus, where to focus? What to do?

In reviewing the trends, it is common to say to look at changing demographics and ethnicity, changes in technology, increased nutritional knowledge; however, it is important still to look at the past. Hollingsworth (1996) reported from the NPD Group in Illinois the following "If you want to know what people will be eating ten years from now, look at today's list. Eight of the 10 most popular foods today were on the list a decade ago. The form may be a little different, like turkey ham instead of real ham, for instance, because people are eating healthier alternatives to traditional foods. But future trends will be based on modifications of the foods available and most popular now." People only change when the new food product has a better value of health, price or convenience.

Source Source Source Source
Rice&Eddy, 1999 Katz, 1999(in Europe) Hollingsworth, 1998 Toops, 1999 Hickman, 1995, May 2
  • Ethnic and Specialty
  • Technology
  • Nutrition and health
  • Eating patterns
  • Dining at home
  • Beverages
  • Restaurants
  • authentic
  • healthy
  • cost containment
  • shortened life cycles
  • beverages
  • luxury items
  • ethnic market
  • poultry population
  • foods for demographic groups
  • on-line orders for take out or delivery
  • Trends in E-Commerce and Online Shopping
  • Ethnic Indian food increased consumption
  • grain that will push pasta off the plate more often: rice
  • type of food most likely to have double-digit sales increases: organics
  • next wave of home appliances: super-fast ovens that use circulating heat, high-energy light or other means to bake and cook more quickly
  • sill you will soon feel embarrassed about not having: using chopsticks-skillfully
  • products you'll be sick of by this time next year: millennium anything
  • food safety
  • nutritional attributes of foods and diets
  • biotechnology
  • environmental aspects of processing and packaging
  • molecular basis of food functionality
  • engineering, processing and packaging technologies.
  • What other types of trends and/or market segments exist?

    Trends in Marketing and Usage of Fat-Modified Foods

    One of the aspect of these trends is the change in values which have occurred. Wacker (1992) defined the changes in social values in a 1992 Retail Business Review as follows:
    1950s
    Traditional Values
    1990s
    Neotraditional Values
    1970s
    New Values
    Work Ethic/Upward Mobility Stability/Quality of Life Self-Fulfillment/Entitlement and Affluence
    Permance
    Simplicity
    Security
    Discipline
    Obligation
    Conformity
    Substance
    Streamlining
    Risk Management
    Controlled Indulgence
    Accountability
    Personal Style
    Transcience
    Complexity
    Freedom
    Indulgence
    Entitlement
    Individuality
    Modified from Wacker, 1992

    It is important in marketing and studying trends to keep the above changes in mind. Promotions, advertising, expectations are impacted by those who have changed their social values.

    Probably one of the biggest trends can be determined by reviewing the report by O'Donnell (1999) of R&D Executives. She reported the following:

    Issues indicated as having the greatest increase in R&D activity or as providing the most business opportunities, ranked from highest to lowest.
    1993(n=325)
    1995 (n=736)
    1997 (n=209)
    1999 (n=265)
    2005 (Predictions)
  • Reduced-calorie/fat or diet food
  • Least cost ingredient formulations
  • Reduced-cholesterol foods
  • Reduced-sodium foods
  • All natural/no additives
  • Organic foods *Calcium-fortified foods not listed in 1993
  • Reduced-fat foods
  • Least cost ingredient formulations
  • Reduced-calorie diet foods
  • All-natural/no additive foods
  • Reduced-sodium foods
  • Reduced-cholesterol foods
  • Added calcium foods
  • Organic foods
  • Reduced-fat foods
  • Least cost ingredient formulation
  • Reduced-calorie diet foods
  • All natural/no additive foods
  • Reduced-sodium foods
  • Added-calcium foods
  • Organic foods
  • Reduced-cholesterol foods
  • Lowest cost among competitors
  • All-natural/clean label foods
  • Reduced-fat foods
  • Organic foods
  • Calcium-fortified foods
  • Reduced-calorie foods
  • Reduced-sodium foods
  • Reduced-cholesterol foods
  • Formulation cost control
  • All-natural foods and some organic foods
  • Nutritionally enhanced foods
  • Reduced-fat foods
  • Reduced-calorie foods
  • Foods with cholesterol-lowering ingredients
  • ?
  • ?
  • An important part of trends are the top 10 food manufacturing trends. These were listed by Ferrante (1999) as:
    1. Automation/information/integration
    2. Packaging innovations/convenience
    3. Flexibility/efficiency
    4. HACCP/food safety/compliance
    5. Outsourcing/co-packing
    6. Training/retaining wokers/teams
    7. Broadening product lines/branding
    8. Expansion/new equipment purchase
    9. Supply chain management/JIT/reducing warehousing
    10. Electronic orders/Internet sales/e-commerce

    Chapman, N. 2001February. The long-awaited organic rule. Prepared Foods 170(2): 20.

    Coyne, K.P. and R. Dye. 1998January-February. The competitive dynamics of network-based businesses. Harvard Business Review 76: 99.

    Dillon, 1993February.

    http://www.ncanet.org/industry_research/eat2_table.html

    Eating in America is an article on "A Dietary Pattern and Intake Report" commissioned by the National Live Stock and Meat Board

    Ferrante, M.A. 1999March. Manufacturing trends survey. Strong, Steady, With a Twist. Food Engineerng 71(3): 69

    Hollingsworth, P. 1996June. Developing foods for the next millennium. Food Technology 50(6): 110.

    O'Donnell, C.D. 1999January. R&D Executives pinpoint opportunities. Prepared Foods 168(1): 36.

    Roberts, William A. 2001February. Crossing the Borders. Prepared Foods 170(2):13.

    Sloan, A.E. 1995February. Menus map the future. Food Technology : 22.

    Toops, D. 1999February. News bites. Trends and developments to watch in 1999. Food Processing 60(2):12.

    Wacker, W. 1992August. The demography of tomorrow. Retail Business Review 60(6): 12.

    Zimmerman, A. 2000, November 28. Now at 7-Eleven: gas, food and christmas shopping. B1, B4.

    LINKS to Top

    http://cdiac.esd.ornl.gov/trends/trends.htm

    Online Trends is a compendium of data on global change.

    Updated: Monday, August 27, 2007.

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